Nov

21

NFL Preseason Football Trends from Gamblers Television

November 21, 2008 | Leave a Comment

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Oct

25

Week Eight NFL Selections

October 25, 2008 | Leave a Comment

We suffer some bad luck in week 7 to go 2-2 for a season total of 19-9 for a still outstanding 68%.

Sometimes you get lucky as heck and win games you should lose, and sometimes you get bad beats. Well, that is what happened last week to stop us from going 3-1 for the week.

We had Tampa Bay -10.5 over Seattle knowing the hook (the .5) could be a problem. We messed this one up. We should have advised you to buy the hook but we did not…out fault, you have our apologies.

Things were looking great until Seattle scored a totally meaningless (not to the guys that had the Bucs -10.5) touchdown to make the final score 20-10 and make us seriously ill. These things happen but it is always frustrating when it does.

This week we are going to lead our selections off with the Dallas Cowboys -1. The Cowboys and Jerry Jones need a win badly, if they don’t get it here their schedule only gets more brutal. So on with the picks.

As always do not bet money you cannot afford to lose. Winning at sports wagering is not a sprint, it is a marathon. Stay patient and stay calm and ALWAYS bet the same amount on each game…unless you have a chase plan in place.

Dallas -1 over Tampa Bay

The Cowboys are in trouble. Romo is out, their defense is playing bad, and Owens looks like he could explode, and not in the good way. Explode like his head blows up. The Cowboys need this game so bad, much more so than Tampa Bay. Dallas is at home and all they need to do is win the game for us to push or win the bet. We’ll take the desperate Cowboys to win by seven or more.

Carolina -3 over Arizona

The Cardinals are not much on the road but they can really score. That is the only danger in this game. If the Cardinals go on one of their scoring sprees they could be tough here, but we do not think they will. Carolina is an up and down team but being at home facing a team that does not travel well…we’ll take Carolina and think they’ll win by a TD or more.

San Diego -3 over New Orleans

Both of these teams are all over the place and we usually don’t like to bet games where both teams are so inconsistent. The Chargers are all over the place but should be able to score consistently against the Saints. The loss of Bush is big for the Saints, he causes defenses so many problems. We like San Diego by at least a TD.

San Francisco -5 over Seattle

Seattle is awful. San Francisco is not much better. But Seattle has already lost to the 49′ers and that was at home. The game is now in San Fran and the 49′ers have a new coach. We expect them to come out and play an inspired game. San Fran by 10 or more.

Denver Broncos are on a bye! Thank goodness.

Since Denver is on a bye we don’t have to try and predict anything with this sorry ass team. But we will take our shots anyway. It is time for Lil Mikey The Dictator to walk the plank. And if smart assed Jay Cutler doesn’t get his act together he can follow Lil Mikey.

Denver is a mess and it doesn’t look like it is going to get turned around any time soon. Maybe the bye week has come at the right time. Maybe someone will tell Big Armed Jay that he is not great yet. Either way, the rest of the season better get better or Lil Mikey needs to go.

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Oct

23

The problem with the Denver Broncos

October 23, 2008 | Leave a Comment

The Denver Broncos have many problems but the two leading problems are Mike Shanahan and Jay Cutler.

First we will start with Mike Shanahan. We will get to Jay Cutler and his punk attitude later, but to start with we will focus on the Lil Dictator and why he needs to go.

These are the facts concerning Mike Shanahan. He has won two Super Bowls. He has won ONE playoff game in 10 years. He has signed so many bad players it is hard to name them all. He has drafted so many bad players it is hard to name them all. 

Mike Shanahan is the head of the Denver Broncos. For the last 10 years they have been mostly mediocre. Is it completely Mike Shanahan’s fault? Well it is not exactly all his fault… but most of his fault. Why? Because in Denver it is the Lil Dictator that makes 99.9% of all decisions and that is where the problem lies.

There is no real oversight with Lil Mikey. He fires coaches when he wants to. He drafts the players HE wants (remember Maurice Clarett?). He signs the free agents he wants. His record in both areas, drafting and signing free agents, has been HORRIBLE.

The problem with Lil Mikey is not that he can’t coach…he can. Give him the talent and he can get the job done. The problem with Lil Mikey is that he has far too much control. The Bronco’s have very little talent on defense…and whose fault is that? It is Mike Shanahan’s.

The Bronco’s have more talent on offense but are led by a QB that spends more time on yapping, and thinking that he is already great, than actually being great. Jay Cutler is the second problem with the Denver Bronco’s. The QB position must be a position where leadership comes from. The Bronco’s simply do not get that with Jay "I have a great arm" Cutler. Instead they get a guy that pouts, a guy that sits on the bench and looks like he would rather be sleeping, and a guy that obviously cannot read defense.

Cutler is young and still has room to improve…at least that is the hope. So for now we will give Cutler a bit of a pass, but no more passes to Lil Mikey. For far too long Mikey has run off coaches because THEY did not produce results. Well Mikey, what about YOUR results?

You are the one that hires the coaches. You are the one that drafts the players. You are the one that signs the free agents. You are the one that fired the general manager. The buck stops with YOU Mikey.

Unless Pat "Mikey is my coach for life" Bowlen wakes up, Denver will NEVER get back to the promised land. Mike Shanahan has far too much control and apparently does NOT have to produce results.

Take a look at the drafts from 2000 until now. Almost all of them have been a disaster. The 2006 draft looks like a real good one if Cutler pulls his head out of his ass and starts to play like HE thinks he should. If not it will go down as a good draft because of Brandon Marshall and Tony Scheffler.

Almost every other draft has produced NOTHING. The 2008 draft shows some promise but we will not know for sure until a few years from now. The issue with Lil Mikey is that he can do whatever he wants and apparently doesn’t have to show results.

Most coaches get fired if they only produce one playoff win in 10 years. Not Lil Mikey. Jake Plummer must be laughing all the way to the handball court. Greg Robinson must chuckle when he sees another defensive coordinator hired and fired.

Larry Coyer must also get a smile on his face when he sees the Broncos defense play so horribly bad. Jim Bates must be somewhere smiling because of the Broncos defensive problems. He, like all the rest, was a scapegoat for the Bronco’s problems last year.

The biggest issue with Denver is LACK OF TALENT and that begins and ends with Lil Mikey Shanahan. 

If the Bronco’s do not seriously improve over the last nine games of the season Pat Bowlen MUST seriously consider firing Shanahan. How many more years of this mediocrity is he going to put up with?

Bill Cowher is out there. Mike Holmgren is going to be out there. Those two guys would probably be a much better fit in Denver than Lil Mikey. And what the Bronco’s really need is a general manager that has some real control.

Right now Shanahan makes all the decisions in Denver. He has the final say. No one gets drafted or signed unlese he says so….and that is the problem in Denver.

Mikey, YOU NEED TO GET THE JOB DONE NOW!

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Oct

18

Week Seven NFL Selections…Denver Broncos lead the way

October 18, 2008 | Leave a Comment

We go 3-1 in week six for a season total of 17-7 and 71%! In five out of six weeks we have gone 3-1 or better.

This week we have four more selections with the Denver Broncos leading the way against the New England Patriots.

Remember, the key to winning at sports wagering is to be patient, this is a marathon…not a sprint. Only wager money you can afford to lose and always stay calm!

Denver Broncos +3 over New England

Denver has had a lot of success against the Pats over the years and that was WITH Tom Brady playing. The Patriots are not a good football team. They are slow on defense and without Brady have no consistent offense to rely on.

The Broncos have not played well in two out of their last three games mainly because of the erratic play of Jay Cutler. We expect him to come out aggressive against a weak Pats secondary. Look for Denver to score close to 30 and keep the Pats to around 24. All we need is for Denver to lose by two or less….we think they win the game outright.

Chicago -3 over Minnesota

The Bears are playing some decent offensive football and that is about all you will need against the Vikings. The Vikings simply cannot score enought to keep up with the Bears. Look for Chicago to attack the Vikings through the air and then establish the running game. Chicago’s defense should be good enough to hold the Vikings to less than 20. We think Chicago gets 24 or more.

Tennessee -9 over Kansas City

Games like this bother us a bit because it looks like the Titans should destroy the Chiefs…but the NFL has a way of making you look like a fool. Tennessee just has too much for a horrible Kansas City team. Look for the Titans to dominate on the ground and then for their defense to totally suffocate the Chiefs offense. We like the Titans by at least two touchdowns.

Tampa Bay -10.5 over Seattle

The Seahawks are a pretty bad football team….even with Lady Hasselbeck playing. Well, he ain’t playing and that just makes the job easier for Tampa’s defense. Look for the Bucs defense to directly set up three to four scoring opportunities for their offense.

The Seahawks defense is bad, their offense is worse…and their special teams are not much…Holmgren probably wishes he had retired last year. We like the Bucs in a blowout. Oh ya, the SeaChickens travel horribly to the east coast and this is the longest trip a team can make. NBC must be sick that this is the game they televise.

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Oct

12

Week Six NFL Selections

October 12, 2008 | Leave a Comment

Another 3-1 week, we are now 14-6 for the season for a strong 70%!

This week we will offer another four picks with the Saints leading the parade.

We will say this every week…winning at sports betting is a marathon not a sprint. Bet the same amount on each game, only bet money that you can afford to lose, and stay focused.

New Orleans -7 over Oakland

The Saints have actually been playing pretty solid defense and their offense, even with injuries, has been good. The Raiders are not that bad of a team talent wise but everything else is totally screwed up. The Saints by 14.

Tampa Bay -1 over Carolina

We were on Tampa Bay -1 in a similiar situation two weeks ago against Green Bay. We like the Bucs for the exact same reason against Carolina. Tampa Bay is tough at home. The Panthers are not exactly world beaters on the road. Tampa Bay to do enough to just win….by two or more.

Washington -13 over St. Louis

The only danger in this game is that the Redskins don’t show up. If they do show up and are reasonably focused they bury the Rams. The Rams are horrible. The Redskins might be the second best team in football right now. The Skins by 24.

Green Bay +1 over Seattle

Yes, Green Bay has lost three in a row and Rodgers is hurting but how in the heck are the Seahawks the favorite in this game…especially with Hasslebeck not playing? We just cannot see the Pack losing four in a row. They are the better team even if Hasslebeck was playing for Seattle. The Packers by 6.

Denver -3.5 over Jacksonville

This selection is not one of our best bets but done as a favor for those of you that want our opinion on the Broncos games. Last week Denver might have played their best overall game. They played tough defense and Cutler didn’t make any big mistakes. Look for Denver to get aggressive with their downfield passing attack. Jacksonville can be beat deep and Denver has the ability to go deep often. Denver by 6.

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Oct

4

Week Five Selections

October 4, 2008 | Leave a Comment

We go 3-1 last week for a season total of 11-5! Four more today.

Last week we continued our hot run with a 3-1 week. We are now hitting 69% for the year!

Remember, wagering on sports is a marathon…not a sprint. Take your time, be patient, bet the same amount on each game, and don’t be betting money you cannot afford to lose.

Green Bay -3.5 over Atlanta

We absolutely love this game if Aaron Rodgers is going to play. As of this writing, Saturday afternoon, Rodgers is expected to play. Atlanta has been awful on the road. Green Bay comes off of a tough loss to a very good Tampa Bay team. Green Bay is at home where they play well but the bottom line is that they are at least 10 points better than Atlanta….even without Rodgers playing.

Tennessee -1 over Baltimore

Tennessee could be the best team in football…they have a very talented defense and an offense that is MUCH better with Collins at QB. Baltimore comes off a very tough loss to Pittsburgh which was a very physical game. It is also a short week for Baltimore which never helps. All we need is Tennessee to win by two…we think they win by at least seven.

NY Giants -7 over Seattle

The Giants have a tendency to play down to their opponents and this could happen in this game. The Seahawks are not a good football team and when they go east they are awful. Look for the Giants to stop the Seahawk running game and make Seattle’s goofy QB beat them. We don’t think he can. The Giants do what they want on offense and win by at least 10.

Miami ƴ.5 over San Diego

We don’t expect the Dolphins to rout the Chargers like they did the Patriots, but we do expect them to keep this game close and maybe win it. The Chargers have some issues…that is for sure. The Dolphins can be tough at home and play close games. We like the Dolphins plus the points in a tight game.

We have decided to make a Bronco pick every week. This weeks Bronco pick is NOT part of our recommended plays, we are giving it for the fun of it!

Denver -3 over Tampa Bay

Let’s get real…the Broncos are going to be a hard team to bet on this year because of their ridiculously bad defense. Shanahan needs to face reality…he has very few talented players on defense. This defense game up 33 points to the pathetic Kansas City Chiefs! And don’t start with the deal about Denver’s offense causing their defense problems because of the turnovers. That is nothing but B.S..

The Broncos defense cannot stop the run, they cannot stop the pass, and they cannot stop teams on third down. They are a group of clowns with most of them having a hard time starting for anyone else.

This might be the week that Dumervil actually tries to make a pass rush move to the inside. This might be the week that Webster actually is in the right place at the right time. This might be the week that Denver’s safeties actually make a play. And this might be the weak that Bly actually covers someone…but we doubt it. 

This could be the week that most of you end up going out with Jessica Alba…ya, right.

Having said all of that, we expect Denver to be sharp offensively as long as Cutler realizes he has someone other than Brandon Marshall to throw to. Hey Jay…when you see your tight end running down the middle of the field with no one within 10 yards of him…throw him the damn ball!!!!

Denver gets hot offensively and Interception Griese throws a couple to Denver. Denver wins by seven….but don’t bet on it!

 

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Sep

28

NFL Week Four Selections

September 28, 2008 | Leave a Comment

Hoping to bounce back from a tough week 3, Tennessee leads our selections for week 4.

Last week was a tough one with some tough beats, but that is the way the NFL works. Some weeks you get the bounces and some weeks you want to pull your hair out.

We are currently 8-4 for the season, which is exceptional, but we could easily be 10-2 if not for a late melt down by the Chicago Bears and the Denver Broncos defense taking a vacation in the second half of their game last week. It happens…we move on.

Tennessee -3 over Minnesota

Tennessee is the real deal. They have a very tough defense, a good running game, and they now have a QB that can manage the game, make plays, and not hurt them. Tennessee should be able to control the Vikings running game which means Ferrotte has to beat them…we don’t think he can. Tennessee by 10.

Arizona -1 over New York Jets

The Jets looked awful last week and now face a team that can move the ball up and down the field. Look for Arizona and Warner to throw all day long. This could be a high scoring game and we think the Cardinals do enough to pull out the win.

Carolina -7 over Atlanta

Carolina is much tougher than what the Falcons have beaten in their two wins. Carolina will focus on stopping Turner and Norwood and making Ryan beat them. We don’t think that is going to happen. Carolina by 14.

Tampa Bay -1 over Green Bay

At first we did not like this game…but after looking closely at this game we are going to go with the Bucs. They have a tough defense, they are tough to play in Tampa Bay, and they have enough offense to at least just win. Tampa Bay by at least three.

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Sep

21

Week 3 NFL Selections…Broncos to roll

September 21, 2008 | Leave a Comment

7-1 for the season! Four more picks today including our Broncos pick.

We have gotten off to a terrific start this season and expect to continue today. Always shop lines…get the best line you can.

As always we remind you that winning with sports betting is a long term deal. Slow and steady wins the race. Bet the same amount on each game. Don’t bet with money you cannot afford to lose.

 Chicago -3 over Tampa Bay

Chicago is a pretty good football team…and the Bucs have Brian Griese at QB. Look for the Bears defense to toture Griese. Bears by at least seven.

 Tennessee -5.5 over Houston

Tennessee is a much better team with Collins at QB. They also have a GREAT defense. Look for Fischer to outcoach Kubiak and the Tennessee defense to dominate the Texans. Titans by 10 or more.

Indianapolis -5.5 over Jacksonville

Manning is rounding back into form…the Jags have serious problems on the offensive line. Look for the Colts to be aggressive in the air while they work out their run game. Colts by 10.

Denver -5.5 over New Orleans

This game opened with Denver being a 3 point favorite. It has jumped to 5.5 which is a large move. The Saints have injuries on offense and their defense sucks like Denver’s. The big difference is that Denver is at home and the Bronco offense has been brilliant. Can the Broncos score 40…absolutely if weathe conditions permit. Denver by at least a touchdown.

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Sep

14

NFL Selections for Week 2

September 14, 2008 | Leave a Comment

We got off to a great start last week going 4-0. Four more selections for Week 2.

As we mentioned last week…we are not going to give you detailed writeups of the games. Writeups  don’t make you any money, they don’t mean a thing.

Winning at sports betting is a long term deal. Slow and steady wins the race, this is not a sprint. Always bet the same amount on each game unless you are in a chase betting system. And don’t bet money you cannot afford to lose.

Indy -1 over Minnesota

The Colts did not look sharp last week against the Bears. Minnesota did not look sharp against the Packers. Both teams cannot be happy about last weeks play. There is a major difference in both teams though and that starts at QB. Peyton Manning, coming off a bad loss, versus Tavaris Jackson? Seems pretty obvious to us. The other issue is that the Colts are far too talented to start the season 0-2. Colts by at least seven.

Jacksonville -4.5 over Buffalo

Wow! Did the Jags offense look bad last week..but that was against a very good Titans defense in a tough place to play. The Bills beat up on a mediocre Seattle team and two of their TD’s were on special teams…which you cannot rely on every week. It is tough to play in Jacksonville because of the heat…look for the Jags to wear the Bills down. Too much is being made of the Bills win over Seattle. Jags by at least seven.

Tennessee -1 over Cincinnati

Weather could be an issue here. The forecast is for gusty winds which plays right into the hands of the Titans. They want to run the football and Cincy wants to throw. The Titans are a better team right now with Collins at QB. The Bengals can’t stop anyone. Tennessee by five or more.

Arizona -6.5 over Miami

While both teams leave a lot to be desired…Miami flat out sucks. Arizona should be able to run and throw all day long. Look for the explosive Cardinal offense to leave wimpy armed Chad Pennington and the Dolphins behind. Cardinals by 10 or more.

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Sep

13

Jake Plummer….former Bronco PUNK

September 13, 2008 | Leave a Comment

Jake Plummer spouts off at the mouth about Jay Cutler and Mike Shanahan.

We won’t waste much time talking about Jake the Mistake on this site because he is not worth it. But a new book coming out gives some insight into what the Broncos were thinking when they benched Lil Jake and decided to go with Jay Cutler.

The only thing Bronco fans really need to know is that Plummer was NOT dedicated to football the way he says he was or the way Jay Cutler is now. Jake the Mistake thinks he can B.S. his way around, but common sense shows that he was tired of playing football and really didn’t take it as seriously as he needed to in order to be a top flight NFL QB.

Let’s take a look at a couple of issues. 

1. Plummer got benched by Shanahan and then traded to Tampa Bay. If he REALLY loved football and wanted to play he could have played for the Bucs, who were a pretty solid football team last year. Jeff Garcia, who gets bounched around like Chuck Liddell’s jaw, took Tampa Bay to the playoffs. Plummer, if focused, could have done the same thing. Jake the Mistake showed he did not want to play football by passing up millions of dollars to play for a pretty good team. So stop trying to B.S. everyone Lil Jake.

2. Plummer was NEVER going to be an elite NFL QB. He was capable of looking really good at times, but he needed a very short leash because he was not disciplined enough to control himself on the field. Let’s get real, eight to 10 years into his career he was still making idiotic throws and mistakes. And before you say that Brett Favre does the same thing…please don’t compared Jake the Mistake to Brett Favre.

And finally, does anyone…anyone…think Denver would have been better off sticking with Plummer than going with Cutler? If you think that then slowly back away from the computer, turn it off, call 911 and get some help. Because if you think Plummer was the answer… you have certain mental issues that only a professional can take care of.

 Goodbye Jake, stay in Idaho

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